this post was submitted on 20 Jun 2023
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The article says that page views dropped by 6.6% from the day before the blackout to the second day of the blackout. Those numbers seem quite small to me and sobering about the impact of the blackout. At the peak of the blackout, views were only down 7%? I would imagine that views are recovering as more and more subreddits are being forced back open. That doesn't seem like it will have a big impact on reddit long-term!
To be clear, I'm not happy about it or saying this to defend reddit! It's just my takeaway from the article. Maybe someone more familiar with these metrics can explain that 7% is actually a really big and significant impact?
I agree that it is a sobering number. I don't expect Reddit to die by losing 7%, but that number probably represents a very large absolute number, some of which is directed at alternatives like Lemmy and Kbin. If a threshold has now been passed (which I think it has) and the alternatives are/will offer a better solution, then in time Reddit may be in trouble.
For me the "win" since the start of the black out has been whether alternatives can be legitimized.
I definitely agree with you! It's neat to have alternatives available. So far I feel that comments are higher quality here. So even if reddit goes on, I can enjoy the interaction here.
It's the classic catch-22 of internet communities, though: as a community grows, there's a gradual trade of quality of the average individual post in exchange for a higher population and the increased overall activity that it brings.
The former attracts the latter and the latter provides the critical mass of buzz and activity that tends to foster longevity.