this post was submitted on 16 Sep 2024
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According to a new report, Google's 2025 lineup of Pixel phones unsurprisingly includes five new devices in line with this year's batch.

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[–] GoodEye8@lemm.ee 2 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (10 children)

Are you stupid? Let's say we have 1000 people and they all want the latest phone, all manufactured phones get bought and everyone sells their old phones. And phones don't break.

Scenario 1: Every year 200 new phones get released.

  • Year 1. 200 most willing to pay the highest price buy a new phone, 800 are without a phone
  • Year 2. The same 200 buy the latest model and sell their old one. The next 200 get the "new" used phone. 600 are without phones.
  • Year 3, 4 and 5 I imagine are self-explanatory. By the end of year 5 everyone has phone.
  • Year 6. The most willing buy the 200 new phones and sell their old phone. The next group buy the previous group phones and sell their current phone. The last group has nobody to sell to because nobody wants their phone. 200 phones go into e-waste.
  • Year 7. Goes like year 6 except now there's a total of 400 phones in e-waste.
  • Year 8, 9 and 10 follow the same pattern. By the end of year 10 there 1000 phones in e-waste.
  • Year 20. By the end of the year there will be 3000 phones in e-waste.

Scenario 2: 100 phones get released (to better stimulate the real world because someone is going release a phone anyway, but you can also imagine 200 phones releasing every 2 years as the numbers will the same for every even year).

  • Year 1. 100 people get a phone.
  • Year 2. 100 people buy the new phone and sell the old one. 100 people buy the old phone.
  • Years 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 and 10 are the same pattern. By the end of year 10 everyone has a phone
  • Year 11 the first year phones go into e-waste because nobody wants them. Total 100 phones in e-waste.
  • Year 12 the next 100 phones go into waste. Total 200 phones in e-waste.
  • Years 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18 and 19 are the same pattern.
  • Year 20. By the end of the year 1000 phones are e-waste.
  • Year 40. By the end of the year 3000 phones are e-waste.

It literally cannot be empirically untrue because what I said is mathematically true. Let's say that in both scenario 1 and scenario 2 at the end of year 50 they decide to throw away all phones and never create another phone again. In scenario 1 there would be 10 000 e-waste phones. In scenario 2 there would be 5000 e-waste phones. The more you create the more waste will come down the line. If you want less waste, make less phones.

And before you go "but recycling?" only about 20% of e-waste gets recycled and the recycling process doesn't recycle all the waste.

[–] n2burns@lemmy.ca 0 points 2 months ago (8 children)

Why would you make your scenario supply constrained? Your argument is simply if we sold less phones, less would go to e-waste, and duh. That wasn't debate, it was whether releasing new phones every year was wasteful vs new phones being released every 2-3 years.

Your scenario also assuming people buy used or they just don't have a phone. People who buy a used phone generally do so instead of buying a new phone.

[–] yuri@pawb.social 2 points 2 months ago (2 children)

Yeah but new phones that go unpurchased don’t just magically get unmanufactured. I ONLY buy used phones, but that has literally no impact on the garbage production that comes from companies releasing a new model literally every year.

The sheer number of old phones that are still new-in-box on the secondhand market should be enough to exemplify that fact. We are WAY overproducing tech, and the “model a year” framework is throwing fuel on that particular fire.

[–] n2burns@lemmy.ca 2 points 2 months ago (1 children)

Those aren't unpurchased new phones though. As you point out, they're discontinued, discounted and sold.

I was only trying to refute that, "Trade ins and selling old phones doesn’t really reduce e-waste." I'm the same as you, buying used phones, and if I didn't have that option I would be buying new phones instead.

[–] yuri@pawb.social 2 points 2 months ago

yeah, reckon we’ve both been getting a bit semantic lol

i can’t speak for the original person, but my whole thing is regardless of consumer practices, manufacturerers are gonna keep making more and more phones every year, and they’re already making too many. those NIB phones on ebay were purchased, but not to be used. until they get sold, they’re just closer and closer to trash every day.

trade ins and buying/selling used DOES make a difference, it’s just hard not to think it’s a drop in the bucket compared to the massive amounts of electronics that end up getting discontinued, discounted, and sold to resellers hahaha

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