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If it weren't for Prigozhin and his Wagner mercenaries staging a mutiny against the Russian military, I would have cast serious doubt on Ukraine's counteroffensive succeeding. Regardless of what you think about the competency of the Russian armed forces, it can't be denied that Wagner are one of their few effective units in force.
Ukraine has remained boldly united in the face of a long and a bloody war on their own doorstep, whereas we've seen deteriorating Russian morale, both within the country's borders and on the frontlines.
At this rate I think that Zelenskyy will retake Crimea and the Donbas within months.
What is with the Prigozhin/Wagner mutiny anyway? Never heard anything after.
It died when Belarus intervened and brokered a compromise between the Wagner group and Putin. Still unfolding so we still don't know the full story. Here's a summary from Business Insider.
My guess is he got paid off to back down. Putin has a lot of money and probably offered him safety in Belarus as well as a huge chunk of change for him and his troops.
It's not exactly about money, Prigozhin has full control over the mercenary company Konkord, which deals in "authoritarian support" and over the years amassed more money and influence then I can even imagine.
I've never heard of a super rich person who didn't want more money