There are lots of good places to go to. But as it's quite hard - and expensive - to live as a tourist forever, the hard part is getting into one of these on a more permanent basis.
abff08f4813c
joined 2 months ago
I was wrong. It was actually much darker than I thought possible.
For posterity, here are a couple of links that talk about this in depth,
https://forward.com/opinion/668440/miller-trump-madison-square-garden-immigrants/
Plausible. I can get behind the whole "building up capabilities" and "they want to be prepared" theory.
But of course, just being prepared and preparing to invade are two very different things. (Then again, considering how much I'm hoping an invasion attempt doesn't kick off, it could also be a case of me having the rose-tinted glasses on a bit too tight.)
The author might be jumping to conclusions though. From the article itself,
Shuggart concluded the ship near Guangzhou might not be an assault ship at all, but rather a research vessel capable of supporting helicopters. He even located an artist’s rendering of a “research” carrier that closely matches what he saw in that satellite imagery
Of course there are many dual-use things, and in the event of an actual war or invasion many things that were genuinely meant only for civilian purposes will be commandeered for military use.
Sorry, didn't get the reference - west Taiwan?
This is exactly the point I was trying to make elsewhere (e.g. https://lemmy.world/comment/13326636 )
As you say, turnout was high where it mattered, but there was more red than blue. The part I don't get, is why there was more red than blue, and vote suppression doesn't seem to have had much effect considering how high the blue numbers are.
Btw, curious as to your sources for those numbers. I have no reason to dispute the accuracy or anything, I'm just wondering so I can refresh that page for myself when the counting is finally done.
While this would almost certainly work, it would be nice if the root cause can be discovered and either fixed or worked around. Having to reinstall everytime one needs to free up disk space is .. less than ideal.
So I think being a more-left independent is fine (though I'd personally want to stay registered as a Dem just so I would have a chance at voting for the most left Dem candidate in primaries).
But could any of these folks such as yourself have voted Red on the big day? And if so, why??
I totally understand Harris not being the ideal candidate for such voters, but to vote Red instead? How is that an improvement?
Really?
Yep. So that happened very close to Biden dropping out, hence I think I missed it in all the noise about the change.
It's good to have source though. In this case it provided additional context - the comments were limited to the top two, unlike Clinton who insulted potential voters. (Actually let's not kid ourselves - these folks almost certainly voted against her in the end.)
The final vote totals are not in yet, true, but I’m going off what information we have now.
That's not unreasonable, but I'd argue it's premature. If the results change, that could invalidate the conclusion.
The sources I referenced seem to disagree with you, but after all they may yet be proven to have jumped to conclusions too soon as well.
Well, the good news is that you are completely wrong.
Like I said, it's premature to conclude this.
I'll grant you this - if the final numbers show that the GOP didn't get more than 2020, and Harris ended up getting a lot less than Biden did (on the order of tens of millions), then I'll concede and agree.
Though I'll through in an additional wrench - I'd want to see what happens with the popular vote in California specifically. To rule out things like Dem voters in Republican or battleground states getting their votes suppressed as being the cause of the GOP win.
But if the numbers say differently - that more people voted this year overall, for example, then I'd argue that supports my original (and deeply disappointing) case. (I'm not sure year if 2020 is the right comparison either due to the effects of the pandemic - that might have been an unrepeatable one off. I'd also want to compare to 2008 or 2012 after adjusting the numbers for population changes.
Honestly, Harris could’ve run to the right of Trump on every issue and Trump supporters still wouldn’t vote for her.
Agreed. I confess that why his core voters like him so much remains a bit of mystery to me - even the most extreme on the right haven't been able to displace this guy, a new york liberal who basically stole their playbook and used the bits he liked.
But this puzzles me less than a Clinton and Biden supporting Dem turning red this year.
Running a progressive campaign with progressive policy.
Like Clinton did in 2016, as per the NBC source I referenced earlier? We know how that turned out.
Not punching left. Not supporting genocide. Not bragging about Dick Cheney being on your side.
Yup, agreed. I can see Palestine/Gaza indeed being a sticking point. I still will never understand those folks who voted GOP because they didn't like Biden/Harris on Gaza - which many claimed to do as per https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/oct/14/hamtramck-donald-trump-arab-american-muslim - but I could easily understand them sitting out or voting third party. And with Dick Cheney's history, that might influence single issue voters negatively who might otherwise be primed to want to believe in the best of intentions from Harris.
Of course, Harris was between a rock and a hard place on this issue - but we don't need to rehash all of that. From what's coming out now, it's clear that Harris wasn't able to strike the necessary balance and win over this important voting bloc - such as https://www.voanews.com/a/in-historic-shift-american-muslim-and-arab-voters-desert-democrats/7854995.html and https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2024/11/7/dont-dare-blame-arab-and-muslim-americans-for-trumps-victory - and I certainly can't rule out the possibility that your suggestion here might have been enough to swing things the other way.
That’s just how reality is, and your ideology is out of line with it.
You’re operating on lots of false assumptions, like this idea that who people vote for just comes down to who’s closer to them on the political compass or something
If that's false - then how do people choose who to vote for? What else would be the measure that they use?
like this idea that who people vote for just comes down to who’s closer to them on the political compass or something
Well, they also tend to follow endorsements (hence why AOC and Sanders endorsed Harris), and do things like punish the incumbent if the economy feels really bad, etc. I'd agree that closeness isn't the sole thing.
Even just calling Republicans weird was actually working
Per your citation it was just the two folks who are heading to the White House, not Republicans generally.
but she couldn’t even stick with that because she was too concerned with winning over the mythical moderate republican vote.
Actually, she did - see https://www.npr.org/2024/10/30/nx-s1-5170908/harris-argues-that-trump-poses-a-threat-to-democracy-in-the-final-days-of-the-race & https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/10/15/harris-slams-trump-in-pennsylvania-as-us-election-race-heats-up
Following. Curious to see the how here (which country, what visa or programme, eligibility requirements, etc).
There's a really good repost at https://lemmy.blahaj.zone/post/18340229 which shows that actually turnout was higher where it mattered almost across the board, though alas it also doesn't cite a reference or source for the numbers. (Remember though that even an extra 81 million votes for Harris in California wouldn't have made a difference in the EC, but split 15 million Dem votes evenly across the seven swing states, and Harris would have won.)
This suggests that there wasn't much of a depression of turnout - perhaps only in the safe blue states, which wouldn't have been impactful.
Of course that's based on an estimate, or guess, on how the total popular vote count will turn out, which is still unknown. We'll see, I guess.
You're right about being able to get voters to switch back to blue. But that's what puzzles me - why did they switch from blue to red in the first place?
But actually you answered this already - it's the age old "it's the economy, stupid." Maybe this was unavoidable then? Biden and his Dem replacement would have always taken the hit on the economy no matter what. The only one eligible to run who might have been able to avoid that stain would have been Sanders.