Noit

I set up a play-money prediction market on whether this would happen, and it doesn’t look like many people have faith in Musk to pull this one off.

Kill WFH, kill the four-day-week, the population must be restrained to their offices lest they use all that spare time to better themselves.

Sky News now reporting that the whip has been suspended, so it looks like the Tories aren’t standing by him and hoping it blows over.

At some point you start to wonder whether our abysmal rape conviction rates are a deliberate government policy to protect Conservative MPs.

Yeah, at least that’s what he said when he was defending another sexual abuser https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2022/may/02/conservative-mp-crispin-blunt-to-step-down-at-next-election

I wonder if he was already under investigation at that point? It’s only five months ago.

Between Blunt, Bone and Pincher I’m beginning to think we live in a simulation.

The rule of a 12 month sentence before a recall petition can be triggered is regardless of crime, it’s not a specific “get away with rape” clause. In fact if he is found guilty it’s very unlikely he’d get such a short sentence, the 12 months is more to stop an MP losing their job over not paying their council tax, or too many speeding tickets.

The big problem is our rape conviction rates are a shameful embarrassment so by the stats of it, if he did commit the crime he’s incredibly unlikely to be sentenced. And even if he was, it’s unlikely to be before there’s a general election.

Just to preempt the “he should be in prison” comments, as this is a police inquiry he will not be required to resign unless he is found guilty and sentenced to more than a year in prison, and has run out of appeals.

Of course there is nothing stopping the Conservative Party from withdrawing the whip if they feel he is distracting from their work, but even then he can sit as an independent MP until he resigns, or the next election.

Innocent until proven guilty does apply even to politicians you don’t like.

She’s directly challenging a Sunak invitation here. Between that and the threat to boost her own budget, she’s spearheading a total breakdown in party discipline.

I’ve set up a couple of prediction markets on what happens next. Odds currently say he’s almost certainly going to face a by-election, and Labour can win it if they can pull off Tamworth / Selby style swings. Which I think they’re more than capable of.

You are aware of the British slang word “muffed”, right?

I’ve not finished it yet due to limited gaming time but it’s clearly not that long. It feels like it should have some replayability but I don’t think it’s very unreasonably priced. Probably not ideal if you’re looking to squeeze every hour of entertainment out of your dollar though.